Arkansas Proved Medicaid Work Requirements Don't Work. Congress Made Them National Law Anyway.

Resist Now Updated August 9, 2026 20 min read
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The Experiment Already Failed

When Arkansas required Medicaid enrollees to report 80 hours of monthly work activity in 2018, 18,000 people lost coverage in seven months. That was one in four people subject to the rule. Employment did not increase at all.

A peer-reviewed study in the New England Journal of Medicine found the requirement produced zero employment gains while driving up the uninsured rate. Among those who lost coverage, 56% delayed care due to cost and 50% took on serious medical debt. A federal judge struck down the policy in 2019.

On July 4, 2025, President Trump signed H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which takes the Arkansas model national. Every state must enforce Medicaid work requirements by January 1, 2027.

Who Loses Coverage

The Congressional Budget Office estimates 5.2 million adults will lose Medicaid by 2034. That means roughly one in every 14 current Medicaid expansion enrollees will be dropped, not because they stopped qualifying, but because they could not navigate the paperwork.

Here is the part that makes it worse: 64% of Medicaid adults already work. Another 28% are not working because of caregiving, disability, or school. The requirement does not find unemployed people. It creates a paperwork trap for people who are already doing what the law demands.

“I am insanely worried. It’s made my depression way worse.” — Crystal Schroer, Nebraska Medicaid enrollee, NPR, May 1, 2026

State Implementation Timeline

Nebraska became the first state to enforce the requirements on May 1, 2026. Three states are moving ahead of the federal deadline. The rest must comply by January 2027.

StateStart DateStatus
NebraskaMay 1, 2026Enforcing now
MontanaJuly 1, 2026Implementing early
IowaDecember 1, 2026Implementing early
GeorgiaHas active waiverTransitioning to federal rules by Jan 2027
All other expansion statesJanuary 1, 2027Mandatory deadline

43 states total will be required to implement work requirements, including all 41 expansion states plus DC, Georgia, and Wisconsin.

The Cost Nobody Talks About

This is not just a coverage story. The Commonwealth Fund projects hospital operating margins will drop 12.5% to 14.2% nationally when work requirements take full effect. Rural hospitals that already run on thin margins will be hit hardest. Up to 5.6 million community health center patients could lose coverage, threatening $32 billion in health center revenue.

Your state is paying for the bureaucracy to kick people off their insurance. CBPP estimates many states lack the systems to verify work hours and will spend millions building new reporting infrastructure.

What You Can Do

  1. Check your status now. If you are on Medicaid, find out whether your state is implementing early and whether you qualify for an exemption. Do not wait for a letter in the mail.
  2. Contact your state legislators. Tell them to use every available exemption and extension. States can request extensions until December 31, 2028 if they demonstrate good faith implementation efforts.
  3. Call your U.S. representative. Ask them to support repealing the work requirement provisions of H.R. 1. The CBO says this single provision accounts for the largest share of the $911 billion in Medicaid cuts.
  4. Share this with someone on Medicaid. The Nebraska Hospital Association warned that many enrollees do not know these changes are coming.
  5. Follow the tracker. KFF’s implementation tracker monitors each state’s waiver status and policy decisions in real time.

See your state page for local Medicaid details and the Economy hub for the full picture.

Update, June 3, 2026: The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services issued regulations on June 1 requiring states to enforce Medicaid work requirements, forcing them to rebuild computer systems they had spent months preparing. The rules narrow the medical frailty exemption, requiring states to assess the severity of a person’s condition rather than accepting a diagnosis alone, and bar homelessness as a qualifying reason.

Nebraska, which launched its own work requirement on May 1 under a nearly 300-page list of qualifying conditions, now faces an overhaul of that framework to meet the new federal standard. Medicaid enrollees in Nebraska are scheduled to begin losing coverage this summer, prompting advocacy group Nebraska Appleseed to call on the state to pause terminations while it resolves the conflict with the federal rules.

Starting in 2028, CMS will restrict self-attestation of medical frailty and require documentation as proof, affecting more than two dozen states that had planned to let enrollees declare conditions themselves. Kinda Serafi, a partner at Manatt Health who advises states, described the regulations as a “significant policy pivot.” Daniel Meuse, deputy director of Princeton University’s State Health and Value Strategies program, said states will have to undo months of completed work.

Update, June 5, 2026: The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services released an interim final rule implementing Medicaid work requirements under the One Big Beautiful Bill, with a January 1, 2027 deadline for all Medicaid expansion states to comply. The rule strips automatic “medically frail” exemptions from people already enrolled in Medicaid with diagnosed conditions, including sickle cell disease, requiring them to separately prove they are “greatly impaired” from working.

Jennifer Wagner, director of Medicaid eligibility and enrollment at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, said state officials were blindsided by the new medical frailty definition and attributed the change to White House pressure rather than CMS staff. A 60-day public comment period is now underway, though Wagner said states will not be able to implement the requirements accurately by the January deadline.

Maria Town, president and CEO of the American Association of People with Disabilities, noted that Medicaid-supported employment will not qualify as “community engagement” under the rule, excluding a category of work that Medicaid itself funds. The Urban Institute projects the requirements and more frequent eligibility checks will reduce Medicaid enrollment by between 4.9 and 10.1 million people by 2028, with the interim rule’s stricter terms likely to push that figure toward the higher end.

Update, June 12, 2026: The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services released final rules on June 1 setting out how states must verify that certain Medicaid enrollees are working or completing qualifying activities under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The rules apply to roughly 18.5 million people covered through Medicaid expansion and require 80 hours of qualifying activity per month. Most states must begin enforcement by January 1, 2027.

Nebraska began enforcing the rules in May; Montana plans to start in July but will not disenroll anyone until October. Arkansas will begin a soft launch in July with no penalties until 2027, and enrollees in most states will be permitted to self-attest compliance in 2027 and once in 2028, after which states must collect documentation. States that incorrectly grant exemptions from the rules face federal financial penalties, a provision that Jennifer Tolbert at KFF said will make state agencies more cautious and push eligible people off the rolls.

Consumer advocates said the exemption process for people too sick to work is more restrictive than anticipated, with no standardized federal definition of who qualifies as medically frail. Carolyn Sheridan, associate director of state policy for the National Organization for Rare Disorders, said the same health condition could meet the threshold in one state but not another. Morgan Henderson at the University of Maryland-Baltimore County’s Hilltop Institute said higher documentation burdens will produce coverage losses among people who remain legally eligible.

Update, June 24, 2026: West Virginia is among the first states to begin public outreach ahead of the national Medicaid work requirement deadline set by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The state Department of Human Services launched WVMedicaidHelp.org on June 24 and is urging the state’s 161,184 Medicaid expansion enrollees to verify their mailing address, email, and phone number with the agency before January 1, 2027.

Under the new law, adults ages 19 through 64 enrolled in expansion Medicaid must document at least 80 hours per month of qualifying activity, including employment or job training, to retain coverage. Christy Donohue, commissioner of the West Virginia Bureau for Medical Services, said the department is building automated systems to verify eligibility data electronically and reduce the paperwork burden on enrollees.

The department is asking recipients to monitor all state correspondence through the end of 2026. West Virginia Watch reported in May 2026 that a survey found most Medicaid recipients in the state were not yet aware the requirements were coming.

Update, June 29, 2026: Twenty-five Democratic-led states plus the District of Columbia sued the Trump administration on June 29, targeting an interim final rule that narrows the “medically frail” exemption to Medicaid work requirements, according to Stateline and Mother Jones. The lawsuit names HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and CMS Administrator Mehmet Oz as defendants and was led in part by Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Joy Campbell and Rhode Island Attorney General Peter Neronha.

The interim final rule, published this month by HHS and CMS, requires Medicaid recipients to demonstrate both a significant health condition and significant impairment in their ability to work to qualify for the medically frail exemption. State officials argue that Congress drew no such two-part distinction in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, and that the guidance arrived after states had already spent months working with CMS on implementation.

The lawsuit asks a federal court to stay the rule and vacate portions of it. States face an August 31, 2026, deadline to notify Medicaid recipients of the new medically frail standards, with financial penalties for noncompliance, and must implement full work requirements by January 1, 2027.

Update, July 7, 2026: Indiana’s Family and Social Services Administration announced implementation rules for Medicaid work requirements that take effect Jan. 1, 2027, under the state’s Healthy Indiana Plan. Adults ages 19 to 64 enrolled in HIP must document 80 hours per month of work, school, or volunteering to keep coverage. New applicants must prove three consecutive months of compliance before they can enroll, beginning in October 2026.

The Urban Institute and Robert Wood Johnson Foundation estimate that between 102,000 and 116,000 Hoosiers could lose eligibility once the requirement takes hold. FSSA Secretary Mitch Roob said the state does not expect the requirements to generate savings for Indiana’s general fund, because the expansion population is funded almost entirely by the federal government, with the remaining 10% covered through hospital assessment fees.

Indiana’s work requirement law was passed last year and structured to comply with the national mandate in President Trump’s 2025 tax bill, which requires all states to impose work requirements on Medicaid expansion enrollees. FSSA will hold town halls and virtual webinars this summer to explain the rules. Enrollment in HIP has already dropped from roughly 671,000 when Gov. Mike Braun signed the law to around 487,000 as of June, six months before requirements begin. (Indiana Capital Chronicle)

Update, July 10, 2026: The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed by President Trump, requires 43 states and the District of Columbia to implement Medicaid work requirements by Jan. 1, 2027, mandating that enrolled adults document at least 80 hours per month of work, education, or community service. The law also doubles the eligibility verification schedule, requiring beneficiaries to confirm their status twice a year rather than once. A KFF Health News report published July 10 examines how the rule threatens coverage for more than one million farmworkers who are U.S. citizens or legal permanent residents.

Advocates say the 80-hour monthly threshold conflicts with seasonal agricultural employment, in which workers routinely exceed the threshold during harvest but fall short during off-months. Alexis Guild, vice president of strategy and programs at Farmworker Justice, told KFF Health News that cash-paid and informal work between harvests is difficult to document under the new standard. Farmworkers who relocate across state lines face the additional step of transferring Medicaid enrollment with each move.

CMS Administrator Mehmet Oz announced a “nationwide framework” for implementation in June 2026. Akeiisa Coleman, assistant vice president at the Commonwealth Fund, warned that mailed eligibility notices are routinely missed, putting eligible enrollees at risk of losing coverage through paperwork failures. Adriana Cadena, executive director of Protecting Immigrant Families, said coverage losses will redirect care to emergency rooms, raising costs and wait times across the system.

Update, July 12, 2026: Arkansas has begun a “soft launch” of Medicaid work requirements under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed by President Trump. The state is using a six-month window to verify whether expansion enrollees meet the requirements before enforcement begins in January. No one loses coverage during this testing period.

State officials estimate up to 42,000 Medicaid expansion enrollees could lose coverage when the requirements take effect. Centene, one of two insurers covering Arkansas Medicaid expansion enrollees, announced it will exit the program in January. Arkansas leads the nation in the share of rural hospitals at risk of closure, according to the Arkansas Advocate.

Arkansas ran work requirements once before, and a federal judge blocked them after 18,000 people lost coverage without measurable employment gains. A 2019 New England Journal of Medicine analysis found that more than 95 percent of targeted enrollees already met the requirement or qualified for an exemption. That study found no significant changes in employment associated with the policy.

Update, July 17, 2026: The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services approved a temporary hardship exemption from Medicaid work requirements for Dawson County, Nebraska, after a Tyson Foods meatpacking plant in Lexington closed in January, eliminating roughly 3,000 jobs. The closure pushed Dawson County’s unemployment rate to nearly 20% in April, the highest in the state. Nebraska residents who have lived in Dawson County at any point since Feb. 1 are automatically exempt until the county’s unemployment rate drops below 8% or 1.5 times the national average.

Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen directed the state Department of Health and Human Services to request the exemption under a hardship provision in the 2025 federal law mandating Medicaid work requirements, according to the Nebraska Examiner. Nebraska became the first state in the country to enforce the requirements on May. 1. All states must comply by Jan. 1, 2027.

Nebraska DHHS estimates up to 29,000 of the 72,000 Nebraskans enrolled in Medicaid expansion could be subject to the new rules, which require covered adults ages 19 to 64 to log at least 80 hours per month in work, volunteer service, or qualifying education. Advocates have warned that paperwork burdens alone could strip coverage from residents who meet the criteria.

Update, July 20, 2026: Final regulations issued in June require Medicaid enrollees seeking an exemption from the new work rule to prove they are “medically frail,” potentially through documentation supplied by a physician. The mandate, created by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, takes effect Jan. 1 in most states for adults without dependents who must log 80 hours per month of qualifying activities. Twenty-five mostly Democratic-led states filed suit against the Trump administration at the end of June, arguing the medical frailty standard would be too difficult for enrollees to meet and would effectively require state Medicaid agencies to act as occupational medicine experts.

Physicians say they are not trained to evaluate whether a patient’s health prevents them from working, and warn the requirement adds an administrative burden that pulls time away from patient care. The American Medical Association sent a letter to CMS administrator Mehmet Oz in May opposing the standard; AMA president Willie Underwood III said the rule “transforms the clinical encounter into an eligibility gatekeeping process.” Oz said during a June 1 press call that providing the necessary documentation “should be relatively easy.”

States may accept a patient’s self-attestation of medical frailty twice in 2027 and only once in 2028, after which supporting documentation from a clinician will be required at each six-month renewal. Jennifer Wagner of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities noted that applicants who lack coverage have no clear path to obtaining a physician’s note in the first place. CMS declined to respond on the record to physicians’ concerns but confirmed that states will make final eligibility determinations.

Update, July 22, 2026: Nevada health officials are preparing to implement federal Medicaid work requirements that will affect an estimated 280,000 residents enrolled in the state’s expansion program. The requirements, which take effect January 1, 2027, will require enrollees between ages 19 and 64 to log at least 80 hours per month of qualifying activity to retain coverage. Enrollees will also have to reapply every six months rather than annually.

About 5,000 legally present immigrants in Nevada will lose Medicaid coverage starting October 1, 2026, regardless of work status, under the new federal law. Nevada joined 24 other states and the District of Columbia in a July lawsuit against the Trump administration, targeting interim guidelines published June 1 that narrowed the definition of “medically frail.” Ann Jensen, administrator for Nevada Medicaid, said the state finalized its own five-category definition of “medically frail” that requires a demonstrable impairment to a person’s ability to work, not a diagnosis alone.

The Nevada Health Authority plans to contact all 280,000 expansion enrollees by mail and digital notification on September 1 with instructions on retaining coverage. Enrollees may self-attest compliance in 2027 but must provide documentation starting in 2028. The agency has hired additional navigators using new grant funding to assist clients at risk of losing coverage, according to Nevada Current.

Update, July 24, 2026: Idaho has set January 1, 2027 as its start date for Medicaid work requirements under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, the Idaho Department of Health and Welfare announced this week. Idaho Medicaid Administrator Sasha O’Connell said an initial state review found that 68,400 of roughly 83,000 Medicaid expansion enrollees already meet the new 80-hours-per-month threshold.

Idaho adopted a three-month lookback period, requiring applicants to document work history for the three months before applying for Medicaid. According to KFF, only Idaho, Indiana, and North Carolina plan to use that length of lookback period, which is the maximum allowed under federal law.

The Urban Institute and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation estimate that work requirements and other changes in the law could remove between 20,000 and 34,000 Idahoans from Medicaid expansion by 2028. KFF notes that Idaho must begin mailing outreach notices to affected households this month to meet the January implementation deadline.

Update, July 28, 2026: In June, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services published guidance narrowing the “medically frail” exemption under the new national work requirements, specifying that a person must have a significant health condition and a significant impairment in their ability to work, according to Stateline. Twenty-five Democratic-led states filed a lawsuit arguing the interpretation will cut sick and disabled people from Medicaid. States are now building their own exemption policies with different levels of documentation required from enrollees.

Idaho’s Department of Health and Welfare will not offer the federal government’s optional one-year attestation grace period for the medically frail exemption, Medicaid Administrator Sasha O’Connell told the Idaho Capital Sun. An initial agency review found 68,400 of roughly 83,000 Medicaid expansion enrollees already meet the work requirements. An analysis by the Urban Institute and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation projects the law’s combined changes could remove 20,000 to 34,000 Idahoans from Medicaid expansion by 2028.

In Georgia, the Department of Community Health proposed a medically frail list that excludes HIV, despite CMS guidance that names HIV/AIDS as a condition states could include, the Georgia Recorder reported. The Metropolitan Atlanta HIV Health Services Planning Council submitted public comments arguing the omission is a misapplication of federal standards, not a matter of state policy preference. The DCH board will consider those comments and vote on the final rule at its Aug. 13 meeting.

Update, August 3, 2026: U.S. District Judge Richard Stearns of Massachusetts denied a request from 25 Democratic-led states to block implementation of the national Medicaid work requirements. States now face a January 1, 2027 deadline to put the rules in place.

Stearns found that CMS’s commitment to cover 90% of state implementation costs left the states’ financial harm below the threshold required for a preliminary injunction. The court also noted the January 1 deadline was set by Congress, not CMS, though it flagged unresolved questions about CMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz’s “faithfulness to Congressional intent.”

The lawsuit, filed June 29 by 25 state attorneys general and the governors of Kentucky and Pennsylvania, targeted federal guidance narrowing who qualifies as “medically frail” and therefore exempt from the 80-hour monthly participation requirement. The Urban Institute estimated that between 3 million and 7 million people could lose Medicaid coverage under the new rules, rising to 10 million over the next decade when combined with more frequent eligibility checks.

Update, August 5, 2026: Indiana must begin enforcing work requirements for Healthy Indiana Plan adults on Jan. 1, 2027, requiring enrollees to report at least 80 hours per month of qualifying activity, including work, job training, education, or community service. Because the state will assess the previous three months of activity at each review, HIP enrollees must begin tracking compliance by October 2026 to avoid losing coverage when enforcement starts. Indiana FSSA Secretary Mitch Roob told the Indiana Capital Chronicle that members are “ultimately responsible” for documenting their eligibility, though the agency will provide assistance.

Senate Enrolled Act 1 adds a parallel burden: starting Jan. 1, 2027, HIP participants must complete a formal eligibility redetermination every six months rather than annually, matching a new federal requirement for Medicaid expansion adults. Enrollment advocates including Ann McCafferty of the Indiana Healthy Families Alliance and Susan Jo Thomas of Covering Kids and Families of Indiana have warned that eligible members face real risk of losing coverage through missed notices, address errors, and confusion over which rules apply to their specific eligibility category.

Indiana FSSA cited a Paragon Health Institute analysis to justify stricter verification, but the report’s definition of “improper enrollment” includes beneficiaries enrolled in the wrong Medicaid category, not only those above income limits. Children, pregnant women, adults with disabilities, and parents of children age 13 or younger are exempt from the work reporting requirement.

Update, August 9, 2026: Indiana is moving toward full implementation of Medicaid work requirements for its Healthy Indiana Plan expansion population, with a start date of January 1, 2027. Adults covered under HIP will generally be required to complete and report at least 80 hours per month of qualifying activity to retain coverage.

The Indiana Family and Social Services Administration began texting HIP members from the number 43816 on July 21 with general information about the requirements. The agency has also launched an anonymous online screening tool that lets members enter health, work, and income information to find out whether they would be subject to or exempt from the requirement.

FSSA, in partnership with Covering Kids & Families, has scheduled public town halls at Ivy Tech Elkhart on August 17 and Ivy Tech Fort Wayne on September 1. The state will review compliance at least every six months using a three-month lookback period, meaning anyone applying on January 1 must show qualifying activity going back to October 2026. (Indiana Capital Chronicle)

Sources

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